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In Development — Being built. Not yet available for access.

From trading ideas to executable systems.

Executable systems with explicit entry, exit, sizing and risk logic.
  1. ResearchA hypothesis becomes a complete candidate.01
  2. RulesSetup, trigger, invalidation and exit — explicit.02
  3. RiskSizing, stops, limits and circuit breakers.03
  4. ExecutionRun by Freqtrade, dry run before capital.04
  5. EvidenceRecorded by class, never merged.05

Each stage proves something different.

Weakest to strongest. Results from different stages are never added together.

  1. Research

    An idea worth testing, built into a complete candidate.

    Does not show: Any evidence that it works.

  2. Backtest evidence — Historical simulation only. Not forward evidence.

    What the rules would have done on history, with costs.

    Does not show: How they behave on data they were not designed on.

  3. Out-of-sample evidence — Held-out historical evidence produced under the declared process.

    Results on held-back data, tested once.

    Does not show: Real execution: fills, latency, venue behaviour.

  4. Dry run evidence — Forward execution without real capital.

    The system running forward on the execution engine, without capital.

    Does not show: Real money, real fills.

  5. Live evidence — Real capital, real orders, real fills.

    Real capital, real orders, real fills.

    Does not show: That the future will look like the past.

What each stage of evidence does and does not establish
EstablishesResearchBacktestOut-of-sampleDry runLive
Complete, testable rulesYesYesYesYesYes
Simulated on historical dataNoYesYesNoNo
Net of trading costsNoYesYesYesYes
Data not seen during designNoNoYesYesYes
Runs forward in timeNoNoNoYesYes
Real orders and fillsNoNoNoNoYes
A track recordNoNoNoNoYes

No system is published yet.

Systems are researched and run in dry run. One appears here only when its evidence meets the methodology. Nothing is licensed or sold.
  1. ResearchedCandidates built and tested.01
  2. Run in dry runOn the execution engine, without capital.02
  3. PublishedOnly when the evidence meets the standard.03

Interested in the private beta?

Investment Intelligence is in an invitation-only beta for a small number of evaluators.

Detail of the Today dashboard: a market brief classifying the session as cautious risk on, with what changed since the last reading, above a cross-asset pulse of one-month returns from oil and long bonds to gold.
Detail of the example portfolio: portfolio value over time with its drawdown plotted beneath and drawdown, peak, trough and recovery listed under the chart, beside the current weights of each holding.